Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Xavier Musketeers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 93.8% | 6.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 94.0% | 6.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 99.5% | 0.5% | -28.6 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.9% | 3.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.9% | 3.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 92.0% | 8.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Xavier Musketeers -23 (59-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Liston | 0 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| A. Vernerey | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 7 | - |
| H. Peters | 0 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 14 | - |
| A. Jones | 0 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| C. Gray | 0 | 9-16 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 23 | - |
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Crouch | 0 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - |
| J. Pachko | 0 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| J. Crittendon | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Wanninger | 0 | 5-13 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| S. Hawkes | 0 | 2-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
* = starter