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Duke Blue Devils

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Duke Blue Devils
Program History

2006 Team Stats (12 games)

78.4
PPG
62.4
Opp
+16.0
Margin
46.1%
FG%
31.4%
3P%
72.7%
FT%
36.0
RPG
0.0
APG
0.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
88.4
Adj PPG
47.6
Adj Opp PPG
#1
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2005-2006
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1556 (#4) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1526 (#3) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +87 elo More → 1230 (#3) HCA +87 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.3 More → +43.1 (#1) HCA +3.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More → +38.2 (#1) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.989 (#1) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +61.8 More → 0.999 (#1) AdjNet +61.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +63.4 More → 0.999 (#1) AdjNet +63.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 88.4 | AdjD 47.6 More → 0.976 (#1) AdjO 88.4 | AdjD 47.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 79.9 | AdjD 51.1 More → 0.932 (#1) AdjO 79.9 | AdjD 51.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.984 (#1) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.980 (#1) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 97 | GP 35 More → 1501 (#3) RD 97 | GP 35

2006 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2005-11-18 @ Penn State Lady Lions W 93 - 67
2005-11-20 @ Old Dominion Monarchs W 93 - 56
2005-11-22 vs Fairfield Stags W 110 - 44
2005-11-26 vs Arkansas State Red Wolves W 110 - 56
2005-11-27 vs Auburn Tigers W 69 - 37
2005-12-04 @ Texas Longhorns W 84 - 70
2005-12-06 @ TCU Horned Frogs W 92 - 52
2005-12-19 vs Ball State Cardinals W 110 - 24
2005-12-22 vs Colorado State Rams W 99 - 52
2005-12-28 vs St. John's Red Storm W 105 - 57
2005-12-30 @ San Diego Toreros W 119 - 52
2006-01-02 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 100 - 54
2006-01-05 vs Florida State Seminoles W 87 - 68
2006-01-08 @ Maryland Terrapins W 86 - 68
2006-01-11 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 67 - 59
2006-01-14 @ Boston College Eagles W 66 - 52
2006-01-16 @ Holy Cross Crusaders W 84 - 36
2006-01-19 vs NC State Wolfpack W 77 - 57
2006-01-23 vs Tennessee Lady Volunteers W 75 - 53
2006-01-26 @ Clemson Tigers W 97 - 65
2006-01-29 vs North Carolina Tar Heels L 70 - 74
2006-02-06 @ Virginia Tech Hokies W 73 - 62
2006-02-10 vs Virginia Cavaliers W 88 - 65
2006-02-13 vs Maryland Terrapins W 90 - 80
2006-02-19 @ Miami Hurricanes W 99 - 93
2006-02-22 vs Virginia Tech Hokies W 93 - 51
2006-02-25 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 65 - 77
2006-03-03 vs Virginia Tech Hokies W 69 - 56
2006-03-04 vs Maryland Terrapins L 70 - 78
2006-03-19 vs Southern Jaguars W 96 - 27
2006-03-21 vs USC Trojans W 85 - 51
2006-03-26 vs Michigan State Spartans W 86 - 61
2006-03-28 vs UConn Huskies W 63 - 61
2006-04-02 vs LSU Tigers W 64 - 45
2006-04-04 vs Maryland Terrapins L 75 - 78

2006 Roster

Minutes by Position

Not enough player minute data to plot.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
M. Currie M. Currie NA 12 0.0 16.8 6.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.4 9.4 - - - - 43.5 26.8 86.2 - 53.9 46.9
A. Bales A. Bales NA 7 0.0 12.6 7.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.1 12.1 - - - - 57.9 0 81.5 - 63.9 57.9
M. Bass M. Bass NA 12 0.0 10.7 5.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.4 9.1 - - - - 60.7 0 57.1 - 61.3 60.7
L. Harding L. Harding NA 12 0.0 10.5 4.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.2 5.5 - - - - 40.0 22.2 77.3 - 48.7 41.8
C. Black C. Black NA 5 0.0 8.6 4.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.8 7.4 - - - - 69.0 0 30.0 - 64.4 69.0
W. Smith W. Smith NA 11 0.0 6.2 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.2 3.0 - - - - 35.3 21.4 68.0 - 43.0 37.5
T. Canby T. Canby - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -3.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG