Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 15.3% | 84.7% | +9.4 | ✗ (13.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils -4 (70-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Larkins | 0 | 9-14 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 15 | - |
| L. Atkinson | 0 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| I. Latta | 0 | 7-15 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 5 | - |
| C. Little | 0 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | - |
| J. Sell | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Bass | 0 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| M. Currie | 0 | 5-15 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| C. Black | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| W. Smith | 0 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| L. Harding | 0 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | - |
* = starter