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2006-01-29

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
ELO 32.7% 67.3% -
Bradley-Terry 25.6% 74.4% -
Margin 15.3% 84.7% +9.4 (13.4 off)
Pythagorean 46.2% 53.8% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils -4 (70-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
E. Larkins 0 9-14 2-3 3-4 6 23 15
L. Atkinson 0 3-7 -1 2-2 10 8 11
I. Latta 0 7-15 1-5 2-2 3 17 5
C. Little 0 5-14 -2 2-4 2 12 0
J. Sell 0 -1 -1 - -1

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
M. Bass 0 6-9 - 4-6 6 16 13
M. Currie 0 5-15 1-4 2-4 11 13 9
C. Black 0 4-5 - -3 3 8 6
W. Smith 0 2-7 - - 5 4 2
L. Harding 0 2-9 -1 3-5 2 7 0

* = starter