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2006-03-28

Model Predictions

Model UConn Huskies Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 86.5% 13.5% -
Bradley-Terry 79.2% 20.8% -
Margin 92.4% 7.6% -13.7 (15.7 off)
Pythagorean 49.5% 50.5% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +2 (63-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Strother 0 1-6 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
W. Crockett 0 6-12 0-0 3-5 8 0 0 0 0 15 11 -
B. Turner 0 8-13 2-3 1-2 11 0 0 0 0 19 17 -
R. Montgomery 0 6-15 2-7 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 15 2 -
M. Thomas 0 4-5 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 8 4 -
R. Gay * 42 8-16 2-4 2-2 6 2 2 1 0 20 15 -
K. Williams * 41 5-12 2-5 1-1 3 11 1 0 4 13 12 -
H. Armstrong * 37 3-8 0-0 2-3 5 0 1 4 2 8 8 -
D. Brown * 24 3-8 1-5 4-4 5 1 1 0 1 11 9 -
J. Boone * 20 2-4 0-0 2-4 4 0 0 1 1 6 6 -
J. Adrien 25 7-8 0-0 3-4 7 0 0 1 0 17 17 -
J. Smith 17 2-8 2-8 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 6 -1 -
C. Austrie 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
E. Nelson 8 1-2 0-0 1-1 0 0 1 0 1 3 1 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Bales 0 5-13 0-0 5-6 11 0 0 0 0 15 13 -
M. Bass 0 3-9 0-0 2-4 9 0 0 0 0 8 8 -
W. Smith 0 1-6 0-3 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 3 -3 -
L. Harding 0 2-10 0-3 3-4 6 0 0 0 0 7 3 -
M. Currie 0 3-13 1-4 7-10 7 0 0 0 0 14 8 -

* = starter