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2006-03-26

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 34.3% 65.7% -
Bradley-Terry 23.7% 76.3% -
Margin 13.4% 86.6% +10.3 (14.7 off)
Pythagorean 46.0% 54.0% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +25 (86-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Jefferson 0 7-13 0-1 1-2 6 0 0 0 0 15 8 -
V. Lucas-Perry 0 6-16 3-8 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 17 4 -
L. Shimek 0 2-4 0-0 1-2 8 0 0 0 0 5 9 -
R. Haynes 0 3-6 0-1 1-1 4 0 0 0 0 7 5 -
L. Bowen 0 4-16 2-10 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 10 -2 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Bales 0 4-6 0-0 2-2 7 0 0 0 0 10 11 -
M. Bass 0 4-6 0-0 3-4 5 0 0 0 0 11 10 -
M. Currie 0 7-12 2-3 1-1 3 0 0 0 0 17 8 -
W. Smith 0 2-6 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 0 -
L. Harding 0 5-9 0-1 2-2 5 0 0 0 0 12 8 -

* = starter