Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 62.9% | 37.1% | -2.9 | ✗ (14.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +12 (77-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Black | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| M. Bass | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| M. Currie | 0 | 5-17 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | - |
| W. Smith | 0 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 5-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | - |
| L. Harding | 0 | 3-12 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -2 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Larkins | 0 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| C. Little | 0 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| I. Latta | 0 | 5-17 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 3 | - |
| L. Atkinson | 0 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
* = starter