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2006-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
ELO 50.7% 49.3% -
Bradley-Terry 62.1% 37.9% -
Margin 62.9% 37.1% -2.9 (14.9 off)
Pythagorean 47.8% 52.2% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +12 (77-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
C. Black 0 3-5 - - 5 6 6
M. Bass 0 3-5 - - 8 6 9
M. Currie 0 5-17 1-8 2-2 7 13 3
W. Smith 0 5-10 1-2 5-8 4 16 10
L. Harding 0 3-12 -2 1-2 3 7 -2

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
E. Larkins 0 6-14 -1 4-5 10 16 12
C. Little 0 5-9 -1 3-4 4 13 8
I. Latta 0 5-17 2-5 6-6 2 18 3
L. Atkinson 0 8-13 - -2 11 16 14

* = starter