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2006-02-10

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Cavaliers Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 16.4% 83.6% -
Bradley-Terry 10.1% 89.9% -
Margin 5.6% 94.4% +15.6 (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 38.2% 61.8% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +23 (88-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Granberry 0 3-9 1-4 3-4 4 0 0 0 0 10 5 -
S. Williams 0 3-7 0-0 5-6 3 0 0 0 0 11 7 -
T. Sardin 0 5-15 1-1 2-5 4 0 0 0 0 13 2 -
S. Zoll 0 6-14 3-4 5-6 3 0 0 0 0 20 9 -
B. McGuire 0 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Black 0 5-8 0-0 1-4 7 0 0 0 0 11 10 -
M. Bass 0 8-8 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 16 15 -
W. Smith 0 2-4 0-0 1-3 4 0 0 0 0 5 5 -
L. Harding 0 4-5 0-0 4-4 3 0 0 0 0 12 10 -
M. Currie 0 1-9 0-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 -3 -

* = starter