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2006-04-02

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 25.1% 74.9% +5.9 โœ“ (13.1 off)
Bradley-Terry 37.8% 62.2% - โœ“
Margin 9.3% 90.7% +12.5 โœ“ (6.5 off)
Pythagorean 46.7% 53.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 15.7% 84.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 14.5% 85.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 25.4% 74.6% - โœ“

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +19 (64-45). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Thomas 0 0-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Sylvia Fowles 0 3-8 0-0 2-4 12 0 0 0 0 8 12 -
Erica White 0 1-6 0-1 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
S. Hoston 0 2-10 0-3 4-4 2 0 0 0 0 8 0 -
Seimone Augustus 0 6-18 1-3 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 14 -2 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Bales 0 3-9 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 0 0 7 5 -
M. Bass 0 7-9 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 0 14 13 -
W. Smith 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
Lindsey Harding 0 4-11 0-0 2-3 5 0 0 0 0 10 4 -
Monique Currie 0 6-11 0-1 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 13 6 -

* = starter