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Cincinnati

Also known as: Cincinnati Bearcats, Cincinnati
Program History

2006 Team Stats (12 games)

66.6
PPG
74.8
Opp
-8.2
Margin
37.9%
FG%
28.1%
3P%
74.5%
FT%
36.1
RPG
11.8
APG
13.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
76.3
Adj PPG
65.7
Adj Opp PPG
#34
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2005-2006
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1249 (#34) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1180 (#55) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +97 elo More โ†’ 1032 (#115) HCA +97 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.3 More โ†’ +11.5 (#34) HCA +3.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ +10.3 (#36) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.674 (#83) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +18.0 More โ†’ 0.889 (#32) AdjNet +18.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +18.2 More โ†’ 0.891 (#32) AdjNet +18.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.3 | AdjD 65.7 More โ†’ 0.723 (#34) AdjO 76.3 | AdjD 65.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.7 | AdjD 67.1 More โ†’ 0.625 (#61) AdjO 72.7 | AdjD 67.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.758 (#40) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.741 (#42) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 98 | GP 33 More โ†’ 1216 (#37) RD 98 | GP 33

2006 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2005-11-19 vs Murray State Racers W 79 - 75
2005-11-22 vs Illinois State Redbirds W 76 - 59
2005-11-25 vs Holy Cross Crusaders W 77 - 55
2005-11-29 vs Dayton Flyers L 66 - 75
2005-12-03 vs Memphis Tigers L 81 - 91
2005-12-10 @ Vanderbilt Commodores W 92 - 83
2005-12-14 vs Ohio Bobcats W 86 - 58
2005-12-17 vs Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles W 105 - 62
2005-12-19 vs Arkansas-Monticello Weevils W 84 - 63
2005-12-22 vs Dayton Flyers W 81 - 63
2005-12-23 vs LSU Tigers W 75 - 72
2005-12-28 vs Miami (OH) Redhawks W 75 - 65
2005-12-30 vs North Carolina A&T Aggies W 105 - 69
2006-01-04 vs DePaul Blue Demons W 82 - 60
2006-01-07 @ Marquette Golden Eagles W 70 - 66
2006-01-09 @ UConn Huskies L 59 - 70
2006-01-14 vs Syracuse Orange L 58 - 77
2006-01-19 @ Xavier Musketeers L 71 - 73
2006-01-22 vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 71 - 66
2006-01-25 @ Louisville Cardinals L 50 - 67
2006-01-28 @ Georgetown Hoyas L 57 - 76
2006-01-31 vs South Florida Bulls W 73 - 60
2006-02-04 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 57 - 66
2006-02-06 vs Louisville Cardinals W 74 - 68
2006-02-12 @ Pittsburgh Panthers L 69 - 89
2006-02-15 @ Syracuse Orange W 82 - 65
2006-02-17 vs Providence Friars W 66 - 64
2006-02-23 vs Villanova Wildcats L 72 - 74
2006-02-28 @ Seton Hall Pirates L 62 - 72
2006-03-04 vs West Virginia Mountaineers W 78 - 75
2006-03-08 vs Syracuse Orange L 73 - 74
2006-03-17 vs Charlotte 49ers W 86 - 80
2006-03-21 vs Minnesota Golden Gophers W 76 - 62
2006-03-23 vs South Carolina Gamecocks L 62 - 65

2006 Roster

No roster data available for this season.