Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Cincinnati Bearcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.8% | 87.2% | +10.6 | ✓ (6.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.8% | 93.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.8% | 93.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats +17 (76-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Plank | 30 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| D. Ford | 30 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| G. Dilligard | 30 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| K. Ford | 27 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -4 | - |
| M. Vandello | 22 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| N. Onyeuku | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Dyer | 15 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| R. Fortes | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| B. Holtz | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| E. Vianney | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R. Carlwell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Kruse | 1 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. White | 37 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| E. Hicks | 32 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| D. Downey | 30 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 14 | - |
| A. Kirkland | 27 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 7 | - |
| C. McGowan | 23 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Muhammad | 18 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
| D. Tilford | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D. Coleman | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| R. Allen | 7 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| E. Murray | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| P. Watt | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Miller | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter