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2006-02-12

Model Predictions

Model Cincinnati Bearcats Pittsburgh Panthers Spread Result
Elo 36.6% 63.4% -
Bradley-Terry 41.3% 58.7% -
Margin 33.4% 66.6% +3.8 (16.2 off)
Pythagorean 35.2% 64.8% -
Efficiency 3.1% 96.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 12.2% 87.8% -
Log Adjusted 11.9% 88.1% -

Actual: Pittsburgh Panthers +20 (89-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Muhammad * 35 9-16 3-8 0-0 3 1 1 0 3 21 7 -
J. White * 33 4-10 0-2 1-1 5 4 1 2 4 9 7 -
E. Hicks * 31 4-12 1-3 6-6 4 0 0 1 2 15 6 -
D. Downey * 25 3-8 0-1 1-1 0 3 1 0 3 7 0 -
C. McGowan * 22 0-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 1 0 2 -
C. Barwin 19 2-3 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 1 0 6 6 -
C. Moore 15 1-2 0-1 1-2 1 4 0 0 2 3 4 -
R. Allen 8 2-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
D. Tilford 8 2-5 0-2 0-1 2 0 0 0 1 4 0 -
B. Miller 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Gray * 30 6-7 0-0 3-6 10 2 2 0 1 15 21 -
C. Krauser * 29 6-14 0-3 6-7 4 2 3 0 3 18 10 -
R. Ramon * 25 4-5 3-4 3-3 2 6 2 0 2 14 17 -
L. Kendall * 22 3-4 0-1 1-3 6 1 1 0 3 7 8 -
J. DeGroat * 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 2 1 -
A. Graves 18 3-5 1-2 0-0 3 2 0 1 2 7 6 -
S. Young 18 2-4 0-1 2-4 2 0 0 1 1 6 4 -
K. Benjamin 18 5-7 3-3 3-3 2 1 0 0 2 16 10 -
L. Fields 15 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 3 2 0 1 2 7 -
T. Biggs 8 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Hudson 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
M. Bowman 2 0-1 0-1 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
C. Small 1 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter