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2006-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Cincinnati Bearcats Marquette Golden Eagles Spread Result
Elo 40.7% 59.3% -
Bradley-Terry 32.8% 67.2% -
Margin 23.9% 76.1% +6.4 (10.4 off)
Pythagorean 42.3% 57.7% -
Efficiency 12.3% 87.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 34.5% 65.5% -
Log Adjusted 34.4% 65.6% -

Actual: Marquette Golden Eagles -4 (66-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Hicks * 38 9-13 1-2 3-5 12 2 1 10 0 22 34 -
A. Kirkland * 37 5-9 2-5 2-3 5 3 0 0 2 14 11 -
D. Downey * 27 2-9 0-1 2-2 3 2 5 1 2 6 6 -
J. White * 27 4-13 2-6 2-3 5 2 1 4 2 12 9 -
C. McGowan * 26 2-2 0-0 2-2 4 2 0 1 2 6 9 -
J. Muhammad 26 4-11 1-5 1-2 6 1 0 1 4 10 3 -
C. Moore 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
R. Allen 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 -

Marquette Golden Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Novak * 37 5-9 4-7 3-4 10 2 1 0 0 17 21 -
J. McNeal * 35 7-21 0-3 2-2 4 2 1 0 3 16 -1 -
D. James * 33 6-15 2-4 4-4 6 4 2 1 3 18 13 -
J. Chapman * 27 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 1 -
R. Amoroso * 12 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
D. Fitzgerald 25 2-5 0-1 0-1 1 4 0 1 3 4 2 -
J. Lott 15 0-3 0-0 1-2 3 0 2 2 2 1 3 -
O. Barro 15 3-6 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 6 2 -
D. Burke 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter