Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Cincinnati Bearcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.4% | 71.6% | +6.8 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.8% | 84.2% | +9.2 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats +4 (79-75). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Orr | 43 | 6-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Trey Pearson | 37 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 8-8 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| S. Witherspoon | 36 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Keith Jenifer | 32 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| P. Griffith | 23 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Darnell Hopkins | 18 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Chuck Johnson | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Issian Redding | 12 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Rob Kennedy | 6 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Tyler Holloway | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James White | 44 | 7-21 | 0-5 | 7-7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 6 | - |
| Eric Hicks | 42 | 6-15 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Jihad Muhammad | 36 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Armein Kirkland | 35 | 1-9 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Cedric McGowan | 32 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Devan Downey | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| DeAndre Coleman | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Domonic Tilford | 8 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Ronald Allen | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter