Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Cincinnati Bearcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.6% | 66.4% | +3.7 | ✓ (14.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 88.6% | 11.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats +18 (81-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Roberts | 39 | 6-14 | 4-6 | 5-8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 10 | - |
| N. Plummer | 33 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| M. Scott | 27 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | - |
| L. White | 23 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Binnie | 20 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| J. Cripe | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| C. Alvarez | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -1 | - |
| D. Adedeji | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| W. Williams | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Bennett | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Little | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Downey | 35 | 7-13 | 0-3 | 7-7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 14 | - |
| C. McGowan | 31 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| A. Kirkland | 31 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| J. White | 31 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 11 | - |
| J. Muhammad | 25 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| E. Hicks | 22 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| R. Allen | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| C. Moore | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter