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2006-01-25

Model Predictions

Model Cincinnati Bearcats Louisville Cardinals Spread Result
Elo 32.8% 67.2% -
Bradley-Terry 23.4% 76.6% -
Margin 11.9% 88.1% +11.0 (6.0 off)
Pythagorean 45.1% 54.9% -
Efficiency 1.7% 98.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.7% 58.3% -
Log Adjusted 41.6% 58.4% -

Actual: Louisville Cardinals +17 (67-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Hicks * 32 6-11 0-0 3-8 17 0 1 1 1 15 22 -
J. White * 31 2-8 0-5 5-7 4 1 0 2 5 9 3 -
C. McGowan * 27 1-6 0-1 0-0 7 1 2 0 2 2 4 -
C. Moore * 25 1-7 1-4 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 3 -1 -
D. Downey * 25 1-9 0-2 0-0 2 5 3 0 5 2 -2 -
J. Muhammad 23 4-9 3-7 1-2 5 1 0 0 6 12 3 -
D. Tilford 15 1-6 0-2 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 2 -2 -
C. Barwin 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 0 2 -
R. Allen 8 2-3 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 5 5 -
B. Miller 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Palacios * 34 5-9 1-2 8-10 12 0 2 1 4 19 21 -
A. McGee * 32 3-10 2-7 2-3 3 6 2 0 4 10 7 -
T. Laudermill * 31 4-11 1-4 1-3 4 2 2 0 2 10 5 -
D. Padgett * 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 4 0 1 1 0 5 -
T. Williams * 12 1-4 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
T. Dean 27 4-10 4-9 4-4 6 3 3 0 1 16 17 -
T. Farley 17 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 2 4 -
B. Harvey 14 1-3 1-1 2-2 5 0 2 0 1 5 8 -
C. Millard 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 4 2 -1 -
B. Gianiny 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
B. Johnson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter