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2006-02-15

Model Predictions

Model Cincinnati Bearcats Syracuse Orange Spread Result
Elo 40.1% 59.9% -
Bradley-Terry 27.8% 72.2% -
Margin 17.9% 82.1% +8.4 (25.4 off)
Pythagorean 44.9% 55.1% -
Efficiency 22.1% 77.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 30.3% 69.7% -
Log Adjusted 30.3% 69.7% -

Actual: Syracuse Orange -17 (65-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. White * 39 8-13 1-2 1-1 5 4 2 1 1 18 16 -
E. Hicks * 37 3-8 0-0 2-4 11 0 0 5 4 8 12 -
D. Downey * 37 7-13 2-4 0-0 4 7 1 0 3 16 12 -
J. Muhammad * 36 7-15 4-9 1-1 8 2 3 0 2 19 15 -
C. McGowan * 31 8-16 2-6 1-2 9 1 0 0 1 19 12 -
C. Barwin 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
C. Moore 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 0 0 -
R. Allen 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Syracuse Orange

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Nichols * 36 4-11 4-8 1-4 6 2 2 1 2 13 11 -
G. McNamara * 35 5-12 2-8 2-3 2 5 0 0 2 14 7 -
T. Roberts * 34 1-6 0-1 1-2 3 3 0 2 1 3 4 -
E. Devendorf * 25 7-13 1-3 0-0 3 0 1 1 4 15 3 -
D. Watkins * 25 2-4 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 1 0 6 9 -
J. Wright 16 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 4 0 -
M. Gorman 16 4-7 1-1 1-1 1 1 0 0 1 10 4 -
A. Onuaku 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 3 -
A. Rautins 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
L. McCroskey 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter