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Cleveland Cavaliers

Also known as: Cleveland Cavaliers
Program History

2004 Team Stats (77 games)

92.9
PPG
95.2
Opp
-2.3
Margin
43.6%
FG%
30.9%
3P%
75.4%
FT%
45.2
RPG
22.0
APG
14.3
TO
93.5
Est. poss./game
91.2
Adj PPG
94.2
Adj Opp PPG
#23
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2003-2004
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 948 (#19) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 931 (#21) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +106 elo More โ†’ 982 (#17) HCA +106 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.8 More โ†’ -3.1 (#23) HCA +3.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +4.3 More โ†’ -2.6 (#19) HCA +4.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.421 (#21) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -2.8 More โ†’ 0.421 (#21) NetEff -2.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.2 More โ†’ 0.408 (#22) AdjNet -3.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -3.2 More โ†’ 0.408 (#22) AdjNet -3.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 91.2 | AdjD 94.2 More โ†’ 0.432 (#23) AdjO 91.2 | AdjD 94.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 91.6 | AdjD 93.8 More โ†’ 0.451 (#19) AdjO 91.6 | AdjD 93.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.431 (#20) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.434 (#19) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 255 | GP 82 More โ†’ 967 (#18) RD 255 | GP 82

2004 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2003-10-29 @ Sacramento Kings L 92 - 106
2003-10-30 @ Phoenix Suns L 86 - 95
2003-11-01 @ Portland Trail Blazers L 85 - 104
2003-11-05 vs Denver Nuggets L 89 - 93
2003-11-07 @ Indiana Pacers L 90 - 91
2003-11-08 vs Washington Wizards W 111 - 98
2003-11-10 vs New York Knicks W 94 - 80
2003-11-12 @ Miami Heat L 83 - 88
2003-11-14 @ Boston Celtics L 82 - 91
2003-11-15 vs Philadelphia 76ers W 91 - 88
2003-11-18 vs LA Clippers W 103 - 95
2003-11-19 @ Washington Wizards - Incomplete score
2003-11-21 vs Minnesota Timberwolves L 83 - 97
2003-11-22 @ Atlanta Hawks - Incomplete score
2003-11-26 @ New Orleans Pelicans - Incomplete score
2003-11-28 @ Detroit Pistons L 88 - 92
2003-11-29 vs Memphis Grizzlies - Incomplete score
2003-12-02 @ Denver Nuggets L 103 - 115
2003-12-03 @ LA Clippers L 80 - 90
2003-12-06 vs Atlanta Hawks W 95 - 85
2003-12-09 vs Toronto Raptors L 93 - 100
2003-12-11 vs Detroit Pistons W 95 - 86
2003-12-13 vs Boston Celtics L 98 - 105
2003-12-15 @ Indiana Pacers L 85 - 95
2003-12-17 vs Houston Rockets L 85 - 89
2003-12-19 @ Philadelphia 76ers W 88 - 81
2003-12-20 @ Chicago Bulls W 95 - 87
2003-12-23 vs New Orleans Pelicans W 97 - 86
2003-12-25 @ Orlando Magic L 101 - 113
2003-12-26 vs Chicago Bulls L 80 - 87
2003-12-28 vs Portland Trail Blazers W 86 - 74
2003-12-30 vs Indiana Pacers L 89 - 92
2004-01-02 @ Brooklyn Nets L 82 - 97
2004-01-06 vs New York Knicks W 107 - 96
2004-01-07 @ Toronto Raptors L 69 - 75
2004-01-09 @ Boston Celtics L 82 - 107
2004-01-12 @ Los Angeles Lakers L 79 - 89
2004-01-13 @ Oklahoma City Thunder W 104 - 96
2004-01-15 @ Golden State Warriors L 102 - 119
2004-01-17 @ Utah Jazz W 102 - 96
2004-01-20 vs Oklahoma City Thunder W 99 - 94
2004-01-22 vs Sacramento Kings L 89 - 95
2004-01-24 vs Philadelphia 76ers W 95 - 87
2004-01-26 vs Orlando Magic - Incomplete score
2004-01-28 vs Miami Heat W 94 - 93
2004-01-30 @ Milwaukee Bucks L 95 - 101
2004-02-01 @ Washington Wizards W 104 - 100
2004-02-03 @ Detroit Pistons W 85 - 82
2004-02-04 vs Los Angeles Lakers L 106 - 111
2004-02-06 @ Minnesota Timberwolves L 92 - 103
2004-02-07 vs Washington Wizards L 88 - 106
2004-02-09 vs Boston Celtics W 97 - 89
2004-02-11 vs Brooklyn Nets L 85 - 105
2004-02-18 vs Dallas Mavericks L 98 - 114
2004-02-20 vs San Antonio Spurs W 89 - 87
2004-02-22 @ New York Knicks W 92 - 86
2004-02-23 vs New Orleans Pelicans W 104 - 100
2004-02-25 @ Houston Rockets L 84 - 90
2004-02-27 @ Orlando Magic W 112 - 107
2004-03-01 @ Chicago Bulls L 81 - 92
2004-03-03 vs Atlanta Hawks W 112 - 80
2004-03-05 @ New Orleans Pelicans W 88 - 85
2004-03-06 vs Milwaukee Bucks W 106 - 97
2004-03-08 @ Atlanta Hawks W 108 - 102
2004-03-10 @ Toronto Raptors W 106 - 92
2004-03-14 vs Indiana Pacers W 107 - 104
2004-03-16 vs Chicago Bulls W 111 - 87
2004-03-19 vs Utah Jazz L 88 - 97
2004-03-21 vs Detroit Pistons L 76 - 96
2004-03-23 vs Phoenix Suns L 86 - 103
2004-03-26 @ Philadelphia 76ers L 71 - 86
2004-03-27 vs Brooklyn Nets W 107 - 104
2004-03-29 @ San Antonio Spurs L 93 - 101
2004-03-30 @ Dallas Mavericks L 109 - 126
2004-04-02 @ Milwaukee Bucks L 89 - 107
2004-04-03 vs Golden State Warriors L 100 - 103
2004-04-06 vs Toronto Raptors L 86 - 87
2004-04-07 @ Memphis Grizzlies L 74 - 92
2004-04-09 @ Miami Heat L 91 - 106
2004-04-10 vs Miami Heat W 91 - 80
2004-04-12 vs Milwaukee Bucks W 93 - 89
2004-04-14 @ New York Knicks W 100 - 90

2004 Roster

Counting stats use played regular-season games. PM and RAPM use their separate model samples; PM GP shows that sample's game count.

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
LeBron James LeBron James G 74 39.4 20.9 5.3 5.9 1.7 0.7 3.4 18.8 12.2 -208 79 -2.6 -4.8 41.8 28.0 75.1 1.11 48.8 43.8
Carlos Boozer G 74 34.5 15.4 11.4 2.0 1.0 0.7 1.8 12.0 16.6 -148 75 -2.0 -4.2 52.3 16.7 76.9 0.23 56.5 52.3
Zydrunas Ilgauskas Zydrunas Ilgauskas G 76 31.1 15.2 8.0 1.3 0.4 2.4 2.0 11.8 13.6 -288 81 -3.6 -8.5 48.4 28.6 74.6 0.34 54.3 48.6
Ricky Davis G 19 36.5 14.8 5.7 5.2 1.2 0.4 3.3 13.5 10.6 -219 79 -2.8 -6.0 43.0 35.7 68.1 0.16 49.2 45.9
Jeff McInnis G 30 35.5 11.9 2.7 7.6 1.1 0.1 1.9 10.7 10.7 -116 69 -1.7 -4.2 42.2 38.5 83.6 0.63 50.9 46.9
Eric Williams G 49 27.3 9.3 3.8 1.9 1.0 0.2 1.2 8.4 6.6 - - - - 36.3 25.5 79.6 - 47.0 39.2
Darius Miles G 33 23.7 9.2 4.5 2.1 0.6 0.7 1.5 8.9 6.7 -214 79 -2.7 -8.0 44.9 16.0 54.7 -1.07 47.0 45.6
Lee Nailon G 22 18.0 7.7 3.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.0 7.4 3.4 -270 57 -4.7 -24.0 45.1 0.0 80.0 -1.12 48.5 45.1
Chris Mihm G 18 16.8 6.9 5.9 0.3 0.4 1.0 1.1 5.3 8.3 -205 76 -2.7 -9.0 50.5 0 72.5 -1.65 55.5 50.5
Dajuan Wagner G 43 15.8 6.2 1.3 1.2 0.6 0.2 1.0 6.7 1.7 -236 44 -5.4 -28.3 36.0 33.7 66.7 -1.01 43.1 40.8
Tony Battie G 50 19.5 5.4 4.8 0.7 0.4 0.9 0.8 5.3 6.2 -72 73 -1.0 -3.8 42.7 12.5 76.8 0.77 46.6 42.9
Kedrick Brown G 33 16.9 5.4 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.5 4.7 4.2 -88 55 -1.6 -6.2 46.1 38.8 64.3 0.75 55.3 54.5
Kevin Ollie G 77 17.0 4.1 2.1 2.8 0.6 0.1 1.0 3.1 5.5 -268 82 -3.3 -15.0 37.5 50.0 82.9 -0.03 50.9 38.3
Ira Newble G 60 19.7 4.0 2.4 1.1 0.4 0.3 0.9 4.2 3.2 - - - - 39.8 12.5 78.3 - 43.8 40.2
Mateen Cleaves G 4 23.0 3.8 1.8 4.8 1.0 0.5 1.2 5.8 4.8 -50 4 -12.5 -44.6 30.4 0.0 50.0 -1.08 31.4 30.4
J.R. Bremer G 27 11.7 3.4 1.1 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.6 4.1 1.8 -107 36 -3.0 -15.4 28.8 29.8 66.7 -0.69 39.1 36.5
Jason Kapono G 38 9.5 3.1 1.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.5 2.7 1.7 -155 38 -4.1 -27.2 41.3 44.1 81.0 -0.96 52.1 48.6
DeSagana Diop G 51 12.6 2.2 3.3 0.6 0.5 0.9 0.5 2.6 4.4 -189 56 -3.4 -28.2 38.3 0 61.1 -0.55 40.1 38.3
Bruno Sundov F 1 8.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 -18 5 -3.6 -67.8 0.0 0 100.0 -1.73 53.2 0.0
Michael Stewart G 7 8.8 0.9 2.0 0.0 0.1 0.9 0.1 0.6 3.1 -28 20 -1.4 -13.1 50.0 0 100.0 -0.28 61.5 50.0
Jelani McCoy F 2 6.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.5 -24 2 -12.0 -47.9 0 0 0 -1.51 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG