Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.9% | 65.1% | +3.4 | ✗ (17.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -14 (92-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 34 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Carlos Boozer * | 34 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 29 | 13-18 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 23 | - |
| Jeff McInnis * | 27 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Tony Battie * | 27 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Eric Williams * | 23 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Lee Nailon * | 22 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Kevin Ollie * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Dajuan Wagner * | 17 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| DeSagana Diop | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jason Kapono | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Bosh * | 36 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Donyell Marshall * | 34 | 8-15 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 33 | 6-16 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 7 | - |
| Rod Strickland * | 29 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Morris Peterson * | 24 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Michael Curry * | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jerome Moiso * | 15 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Dion Glover * | 14 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Milt Palacio * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Robert Archibald | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Lamond Murray | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter