Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 27.1% | 72.9% | +5.5 | ✓ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +15 (106-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 42 | 6-14 | 1-1 | 11-15 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 38 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Dajuan Wagner * | 37 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Lee Nailon * | 29 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Ira Newble * | 24 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Carlos Boozer * | 20 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Kevin Ollie * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kedrick Brown * | 13 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Jason Kapono * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| DeSagana Diop | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Tony Battie | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 41 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 38 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Lamar Odom * | 38 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 35 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 30 | 6-15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 30 | 4-8 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Samaki Walker | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Rasual Butler | 5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter