Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.8% | 56.2% | +2.6 | ✗ (18.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.5% | 31.5% | -4.3 | ✓ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -16 (98-114). Ratings: 2003-04 season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Finley * | 43 | 9-20 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 12 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 39 | 5-15 | 0-3 | 8-8 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 36 | 8-11 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 25 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 36 | 5-18 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 23 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Scott Williams * | 21 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 20 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Travis Best * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Eduardo Najera | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Williams * | 37 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Carlos Boozer * | 36 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 23 | - |
| LeBron James * | 34 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Jeff McInnis * | 31 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 29 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Dajuan Wagner * | 20 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Tony Battie * | 19 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Kevin Ollie | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Ira Newble | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jason Kapono | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter