Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.6% | 58.4% | +2.9 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.9% | 65.1% | +3.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +6 (75-69). Ratings: 2003-04 season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 38 | 10-23 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 3 | - |
| Eric Williams * | 33 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 30 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Kedrick Brown * | 28 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Darius Miles * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Carlos Boozer * | 23 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Tony Battie * | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Kevin Ollie * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Dajuan Wagner * | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J.R. Bremer * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donyell Marshall * | 42 | 5-17 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Jalen Rose * | 38 | 5-14 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Alvin Williams * | 35 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 34 | 6-19 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 2 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Morris Peterson * | 24 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Lonny Baxter * | 23 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Michael Curry * | 19 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Robert Archibald | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter