Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 52.1% | 47.9% | -0.5 | ✗ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +1 (94-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caron Butler * | 41 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 39 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 36 | 5-9 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Lamar Odom * | 35 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 28 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 2 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 24 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 19 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Wang Zhi-zhi * | 18 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 44 | 10-25 | 0-1 | 7-10 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 13 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 36 | 14-16 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 30 | 25 | - |
| Eric Williams * | 32 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Ira Newble * | 30 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Jeff McInnis * | 29 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Dajuan Wagner * | 21 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -1 | - |
| Tony Battie * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Kevin Ollie * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| J.R. Bremer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter