Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.6% | 37.4% | -0.4 | ✗ (3.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.6% | 25.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 69.0% | 31.0% | -4.4 | ✗ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +3 (107-104). Ratings: 2003-04 season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 39 | 14-26 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 21 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 33 | 8-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 31 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Metta World Peace * | 28 | 8-15 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Reggie Miller * | 26 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jonathan Bender * | 18 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Anthony Johnson * | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Fred Jones * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Austin Croshere * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 44 | 12-22 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 11 | - |
| Carlos Boozer * | 40 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Jeff McInnis * | 35 | 6-11 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 29 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Lee Nailon * | 28 | 7-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Tony Battie * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Ira Newble * | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Kevin Ollie * | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Eric Williams * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dajuan Wagner * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| DeSagana Diop | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter