Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 52.1% | 47.9% | -0.5 | ✗ (11.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +11 (91-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafer Alston * | 37 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 33 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 29 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Lamar Odom * | 27 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 21 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 17 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Samaki Walker * | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Malik Allen | 13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Loren Woods | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| John Wallace | 9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff McInnis * | 32 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| LeBron James * | 32 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Tony Battie * | 27 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Carlos Boozer * | 26 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Lee Nailon * | 21 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Kedrick Brown * | 20 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Ira Newble * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Dajuan Wagner | 11 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jason Kapono | 6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Kevin Ollie | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter