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Boise State

Also known as: Boise State Broncos, Boise State
Program History

2022 Team Stats (7 games)

67.1
PPG
60.8
Opp
+8.2
Margin
43.4%
FG%
35.8%
3P%
65.2%
FT%
35.1
RPG
11.6
APG
13.1
TO
75.3
Pace

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1269 (#91) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1411 (#36) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 1123 (#42) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +34.0 (#57) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → +19.8 (#75) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.725 (#17) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +10.8 More → 0.789 (#38) NetEff +10.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +2.9 More → 0.582 (#58) AdjNet +2.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +2.9 More → 0.583 (#58) AdjNet +2.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.8 | AdjD 62.1 More → 0.648 (#71) AdjO 68.8 | AdjD 62.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.907 (#30) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.883 (#32) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 113 | GP 33 More → 1345 (#14) RD 113 | GP 33

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-09 vs Utah Valley Wolverines W 76 - 56
2021-11-19 @ Temple Owls W 82 - 62
2021-11-21 @ Ole Miss Rebels W 60 - 50
2021-11-26 vs Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners L 39 - 46
2021-11-30 vs Saint Louis Billikens L 82 - 86
2021-12-03 vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane W 63 - 58
2021-12-07 @ Cal State Northridge Matadors W 74 - 48
2021-12-10 vs Prairie View A&M Panthers W 97 - 60
2021-12-14 vs Santa Clara Broncos W 72 - 60
2021-12-19 vs Montana Tech Orediggers W 88 - 57
2021-12-22 @ Washington State Cougars W 58 - 52
2021-12-28 vs Fresno State Bulldogs W 65 - 55
2022-01-07 vs Colorado State Rams - Preview
2022-01-12 @ Nevada Wolf Pack W 85 - 70
2022-01-15 @ New Mexico Lobos W 71 - 63
2022-01-18 vs Air Force Falcons W 62 - 56
2022-01-20 @ Utah State Aggies W 62 - 59
2022-01-22 @ San Diego State Aztecs W 42 - 37
2022-01-25 vs Wyoming Cowboys W 65 - 62
2022-01-28 @ Fresno State Bulldogs W 68 - 63
2022-02-03 @ Wyoming Cowboys L 65 - 72
2022-02-05 vs San José State Spartans W 76 - 60
2022-02-11 vs UNLV Rebels W 69 - 63
2022-02-13 vs Colorado State Rams L 74 - 77
2022-02-16 @ Air Force Falcons W 85 - 59
2022-02-19 vs Utah State Aggies W 68 - 57
2022-02-22 vs San Diego State Aztecs W 58 - 57
2022-02-26 @ UNLV Rebels W 86 - 76
2022-03-01 vs Nevada Wolf Pack W 73 - 67
2022-03-05 @ Colorado State Rams L 68 - 71
2022-03-10 vs Nevada Wolf Pack W 71 - 69
2022-03-11 vs Wyoming Cowboys W 68 - 61
2022-03-12 vs San Diego State Aztecs W 53 - 52
2022-03-17 vs Memphis Tigers L 53 - 64

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
A. Kigab A. Kigab F 13 31.3 15.2 5.1 2.2 0.8 0.5 2.0 6.3 15.4 235 6.7 8.7 50.0 36.0 68.3 1.76 98.5 55.5
M. Shaver Jr. M. Shaver Jr. - 32 33.1 13.4 3.8 2.2 1.1 0.2 1.7 3.0 16.1 -219 -6.8 -8.6 33.3 24.3 78.7 0.92 183.4 38.0
J. Allen-Tovar J. Allen-Tovar F 1 30.0 11.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 16.0 31 1.0 1.7 0 0 0 0.69 0 0
Tyson Degenhart Tyson Degenhart - 33 29.3 10.4 4.1 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.8 1.9 14.0 242 6.9 9.9 46.9 48.3 58.8 1.83 239.2 57.8
B. Horvath B. Horvath F 2 34.5 10.0 5.5 1.0 0.5 1.0 2.5 0.0 15.5 209 6.1 7.9 0 0 0 1.2 0 0
E. Akot E. Akot - 16 31.8 9.8 3.1 2.2 0.6 0.5 2.6 4.9 8.6 179 5.8 7.4 39.7 35.0 57.1 1.11 86.4 48.7
D. Doutrive D. Doutrive G 1 26.0 8.0 5.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 2.0 9 1.3 1.8 40.0 0.0 0 0.03 40.0 40.0
M. Armus M. Armus F 18 26.5 7.0 8.4 0.9 0.6 0.9 2.2 2.2 13.4 203 5.8 8.9 59.0 0 40.7 1.15 123.8 59.0
N. Smith N. Smith - 32 16.1 5.0 2.9 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.8 0.8 8.4 52 1.5 3.8 41.7 33.3 77.8 0.24 284.3 50.0
M. Rice M. Rice - 33 22.2 4.2 3.1 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.7 0.9 7.1 127 3.6 6.6 35.5 33.3 72.7 0.83 195.3 45.2
T. Pulliam T. Pulliam G 2 20.5 4.0 0.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 189 6.1 8.2 0 0 0 1.31 0 0
J. Tomaic J. Tomaic F 2 9.5 3.5 1.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.5 0.0 4.0 89 2.9 9.0 0 0 0 0.68 0 0
C. Baker-Mazara C. Baker-Mazara - 2 15.5 3.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 86 2.8 8.4 0 0 0 0.7 0 0
L. Moerman L. Moerman C 1 18.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 -184 -6.8 -14.1 0 0 0 -1.26 0 0
P. Kuzmanovic P. Kuzmanovic - 6 7.7 1.7 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.2 1.8 21 1.0 3.4 0.0 0 0 0.08 500.0 0.0
L. Milner L. Milner - 24 7.2 1.4 1.3 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.2 3.1 -34 -1.3 -6.8 33.3 0 50.0 -0.3 239.8 33.3
S. Winter S. Winter - 5 1.8 1.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 - - - 100.0 100.0 0 - 250.0 150.0
K. Pryor K. Pryor - 5 3.4 0.4 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 1.6 1 0.1 1.1 0 0 0 -0.01 0 0
RJ Keene RJ Keene G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
K. Dinwiddie Jr. K. Dinwiddie Jr. - 1 3.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -48 -1.5 -2.6 0 0 0 1.09 0 0
K. Brown K. Brown G 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -44 -4.0 -18.7 0 0 0 0.99 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG