🐻⬇️🏀

Boise State Broncos 42
@
San Diego State Aztecs 37
2022-01-22

Model Predictions

Model Boise State Broncos San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 14.8% 85.2% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 32.9% 67.1% - ✗
Margin 30.2% 69.8% +4.6 ✗ (9.6 off)
Pythagorean 49.5% 50.5% - ✗
Efficiency 59.6% 40.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 46.7% 53.3% - ✗
Log Adjusted 46.6% 53.4% - ✗

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs -5 (37-42). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Shaver Jr. * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 13 16 -
E. Akot * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 2 2 0 4 7 15 -
T. Degenhart * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 5 14 15 -
A. Kigab * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 5 8 -
M. Armus * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 2 2 0 9 -
T. Pulliam * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 4 4 -
N. Smith 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 0 3 -
M. Rice 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 4 -
L. Milner 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 0 4 -
J. Tomaic 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
K. Pryor 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
K. Dinwiddie Jr. 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Bradley * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 3 7 12 -
L. Butler * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 2 1 3 10 15 -
N. Mensah * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 1 1 10 19 -
K. Johnson * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 0 3 -
A. Seiko 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 3 5 -
A. Arop 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 3 0 0 1 8 -

* = starter