Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.2% | 53.8% | +0.8 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos +1 (58-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Bradley * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Player #4397371 * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 28 | - |
| L. Butler * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Player #4431786 * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| A. Seiko | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Arop | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Shaver Jr. * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 24 | - |
| A. Kigab * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 25 | - |
| T. Degenhart * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| M. Rice * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| M. Armus * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | - |
| T. Pulliam * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| E. Akot | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| N. Smith | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 21 | - |
| Player #4897532 | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| J. Tomaic | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
* = starter