Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.2% | 53.8% | +0.8 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos +1 (53-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Baker-Mazara | 12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Diabate | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Bradley * | 35 | 6-17 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 7 | - |
| T. Pulliam * | 33 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 1 | - |
| N. Mensah * | 32 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14 | - |
| L. Butler * | 28 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| K. Johnson * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Arop | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| A. Seiko | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Tomaic | 10 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Kigab * | 36 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| T. Degenhart * | 33 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| M. Shaver Jr. * | 31 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| E. Akot * | 29 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| M. Armus * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| M. Rice | 24 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| C. Baker-Mazara | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| L. Milner | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| N. Smith | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Kuzmanovic | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter