Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.5% | 9.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 88.8% | 11.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 92.2% | 7.8% | -13.6 | ✓ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 85.4% | 14.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 93.8% | 6.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.0% | 4.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.0% | 4.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons -26 (59-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Shaver Jr. * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 33 | - |
| T. Degenhart * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 19 | - |
| M. Rice * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| M. Armus * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 17 | - |
| A. Kigab * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| P. Kuzmanovic | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| L. Moerman | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| L. Milner | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| K. Pryor | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| K. Brown | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Winter | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Taylor * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| C. Vander Zwaag * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| N. Jackson * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| J. Mills | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| C. Murphy | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| B. Brown | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter