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2022-02-26

Model Predictions

Model Boise State Broncos UNLV Rebels Spread Result
Elo 59.5% 40.5% -
Bradley-Terry 60.3% 39.7% -
Margin 57.5% 42.5% -1.7 (8.3 off)
Pythagorean 63.1% 36.9% -
Efficiency 87.9% 12.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 78.2% 21.8% -
Log Adjusted 78.1% 21.9% -

Actual: UNLV Rebels -10 (76-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Shaver Jr. * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 27 32 -
T. Degenhart * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 10 15 -
M. Rice 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 6 10 -
N. Smith 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 2 9 -
L. Milner 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 4 8 -

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Hamm Jr. * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 12 16 -
B. Hamilton * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 4 25 28 -
J. McCabe * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 5 0 0 0 0 7 -
M. Nuga * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 6 -
V. Iwuakor * 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
D. Williams 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 17 16 -
D. Muoka 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 0 9 17 -
J. Webster 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 6 8 -
K. Gilbert 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 3 0 0 0 10 -
J. Baker 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter