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2022-03-10

Model Predictions

Model Nevada Wolf Pack Boise State Broncos Spread Result
Elo 43.3% 56.7% -
Bradley-Terry 31.7% 68.3% -
Margin 28.4% 71.6% +5.1 (3.1 off)
Pythagorean 29.9% 70.1% -
Efficiency 4.7% 95.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 10.2% 89.8% -
Log Adjusted 10.1% 89.9% -

Actual: Boise State Broncos +2 (71-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Sherfield * 39 10-20 0-3 5-5 3 6 1 0 4 25 11 -
Des. Cambridge Jr. * 35 6-14 3-9 1-3 6 3 3 0 3 16 11 -
T. Coleman * 34 1-2 1-1 2-2 2 0 3 1 0 5 9 -
K. Blackshear * 25 1-8 1-6 0-2 5 2 2 1 1 3 4 -
W. Washington * 25 5-9 0-0 3-4 5 2 0 0 1 13 10 -
D. Foster 21 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 0 4 -
W. Baker 15 3-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 7 4 -
K.J. Hymes 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Kigab 34 5-11 1-2 0-0 4 6 1 1 3 11 9 -
P. Kuzmanovic 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
E. Akot * 36 8-15 4-8 2-4 4 4 1 1 3 22 14 -
M. Shaver Jr. * 33 3-13 0-3 9-10 8 4 2 0 4 15 12 -
T. Degenhart * 32 4-6 0-0 1-1 6 3 0 0 2 9 10 -
M. Armus * 30 3-4 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 2 6 7 -
M. Rice 16 2-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 5 5 -
N. Smith 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 0 4 -
L. Milner 7 1-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter