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Ball State

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Ball State Cardinals, Ball State
Program History
Coach: James Whitford

2018 Team Stats (2 games)

76.5
PPG
76.5
Opp
+0.0
Margin
41.7%
FG%
29.2%
3P%
80.6%
FT%
43.0
RPG
11.0
APG
11.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
72.2
Adj PPG
72.7
Adj Opp PPG
#176
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2017-2018
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1002 (#174) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1064 (#123) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 998 (#177) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → -0.5 (#177) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → -1.3 (#185) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.530 (#153) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -0.9 More → 0.474 (#175) AdjNet -0.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -0.9 More → 0.473 (#175) AdjNet -0.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.2 | AdjD 72.7 More → 0.491 (#176) AdjO 72.2 | AdjD 72.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.0 | AdjD 71.5 More → 0.489 (#184) AdjO 71.0 | AdjD 71.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.480 (#178) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.480 (#181) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 131 | GP 31 More → 1027 (#150) RD 131 | GP 31

2018 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2017-11-10 @ Dayton Flyers L 77 - 78
2017-11-15 @ Oklahoma Sooners L 69 - 108
2017-11-17 vs Stony Brook Seawolves W 87 - 76
2017-11-19 @ Oregon Ducks L 71 - 95
2017-11-22 @ Bucknell Bison L 83 - 87
2017-11-25 @ Indiana State Sycamores W 93 - 85
2017-11-28 vs Oakland City Mighty Oaks W 81 - 57
2017-12-02 vs IU Indianapolis Jaguars W 83 - 64
2017-12-05 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish W 80 - 77
2017-12-09 vs Valparaiso Beacons W 71 - 70
2017-12-19 vs North Florida Ospreys W 79 - 65
2017-12-22 vs Jackson State Tigers W 70 - 54
2017-12-29 vs Florida A&M Rattlers W 75 - 54
2018-01-02 vs Eastern Michigan Eagles W 72 - 62
2018-01-06 vs Buffalo Bulls L 63 - 83
2018-01-09 @ Ohio Bobcats W 75 - 68
2018-01-13 @ Western Michigan Broncos L 58 - 73
2018-01-16 vs Central Michigan Chippewas W 82 - 76
2018-01-20 @ Miami (OH) RedHawks L 53 - 71
2018-01-23 @ Kent State Golden Flashes L 80 - 88
2018-01-27 vs Akron Zips W 111 - 106
2018-01-30 @ Toledo Rockets W 75 - 63
2018-02-03 @ Eastern Michigan Eagles L 41 - 58
2018-02-06 vs Bowling Green Falcons W 59 - 56
2018-02-09 vs Kent State Golden Flashes W 87 - 68
2018-02-13 @ Akron Zips W 90 - 77
2018-02-17 vs Toledo Rockets W 99 - 71
2018-02-20 vs Northern Illinois Huskies W 77 - 68
2018-02-23 vs Western Michigan Broncos L 80 - 87
2018-02-27 @ Central Michigan Chippewas L 51 - 75
2018-03-02 @ Northern Illinois Huskies L 65 - 66
2018-03-08 vs Kent State Golden Flashes L 73 - 76

2018 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Tayler Persons Tayler Persons G 31 29.7 15.1 3.3 4.3 0.7 0.2 2.9 1.9 18.7 53 30 1.8 2.5 47.5 42.9 80.0 0.71 369.1 52.5
Tahjai Teague Tahjai Teague F 31 25.3 11.8 7.3 1.1 1.2 0.9 1.4 1.3 19.7 99 30 3.3 5.5 42.5 0.0 68.8 2.34 389.0 42.5
Trey Moses Trey Moses C 31 26.0 10.9 8.3 2.0 0.5 0.9 2.1 1.0 19.4 18 30 0.6 1.0 63.3 0.0 65.0 0.48 436.9 63.3
Kyle Mallers Kyle Mallers F 31 28.1 9.7 5.1 1.3 0.6 0.4 1.3 0.8 14.9 -1 30 0.0 -0.1 30.8 20.0 83.3 -2.39 527.2 36.5
Sean Sellers Sean Sellers G 31 26.8 8.1 4.3 1.1 0.6 0.4 1.1 0.8 12.5 89 30 3.0 4.6 34.6 31.6 88.9 2.5 418.9 46.2
Jontrell Walker Jontrell Walker G 14 22.7 7.9 1.3 2.1 0.6 0.2 1.7 0.4 10.0 29 12 2.4 4.5 20.0 0.0 0 1.23 1100.0 20.0
Jeremie Tyler Jeremie Tyler G 15 18.3 7.1 1.5 0.9 0.9 0.6 1.2 0.5 9.3 27 13 2.1 4.7 50.0 66.7 66.7 0.87 568.7 62.5
Zach Gunn Zach Gunn F 24 14.1 5.2 2.8 0.7 0.2 0.4 1.0 0.8 7.5 -64 24 -2.7 -8.0 31.6 42.9 50.0 -3.32 311.9 47.4
Ishmael El-Amin Ishmael El-Amin G 30 18.7 4.9 2.0 1.6 0.6 0.1 1.3 0.7 7.2 -7 29 -0.2 -0.5 25.0 20.0 83.3 -1.29 324.6 30.0
Francis Kiapway Francis Kiapway G 24 17.7 3.7 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.7 0.4 5.0 -127 23 -5.5 -13.9 33.3 42.9 0 -6.04 488.9 50.0
Josh Thompson Josh Thompson G 15 8.9 1.3 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.4 0.1 1.9 -19 14 -1.4 -5.3 100.0 100.0 66.7 -4.75 301.2 125.0
Tyler Leedy Tyler Leedy - 4 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
B. Huggins B. Huggins C 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG