Model Predictions
| Model | Valparaiso Beacons | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.0% | 59.0% | +1.0 | ✓ (0.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.2% | 54.8% | +1.1 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals +1 (71-70). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bakari Evelyn * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 23 | - |
| Markus Golder * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Jaume Sorolla * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Max Joseph | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 21 | - |
| Derrik Smits | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 15 | - |
| John Kiser | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Micah Bradford | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Mileek McMillan | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Marten Linssen | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Mallers * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 20 | - |
| Tayler Persons * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 30 | - |
| Sean Sellers * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Jontrell Walker * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Tahjai Teague * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Trey Moses | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 24 | - |
| Jeremie Tyler | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Ishmael El-Amin | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Zach Gunn | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter