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2018-01-09

Model Predictions

Model Ball State Cardinals Ohio Bobcats Spread Result
Elo 45.7% 54.3% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 57.2% 42.8% - โœ“
Margin 43.7% 56.3% +1.4 โœ— (8.4 off)
Pythagorean 50.1% 49.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 51.9% 48.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 51.5% 48.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 46.6% 53.4% - โœ—

Actual: Ohio Bobcats -7 (68-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ball State Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trey Moses * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 4 1 0 1 16 31 -
Francis Kiapway * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 5 9 -
Kyle Mallers * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 14 17 -
Tayler Persons * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 3 16 21 -
Sean Sellers * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 3 2 6 -
Jeremie Tyler 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 1 0 13 19 -
Tahjai Teague 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 7 13 -
Ishmael El-Amin 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 2 2 -

Ohio Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mike Laster * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 13 17 -
Teyvion Kirk * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 2 1 2 17 25 -
Jordan Dartis * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 13 16 -
Gavin Block * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 3 1 0 1 2 12 -
Doug Taylor * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 2 8 14 -
Kevin Mickle 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 2 0 0 10 18 -
James Gollon 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 3 5 -
Zach Butler 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
A.J. Gareri 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter