Model Predictions
| Model | Buffalo Bulls | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.6% | 19.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.4% | 25.6% | -5.9 | ✓ (14.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.1% | 17.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals -20 (63-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Buffalo Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Massinburg * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 28 | - |
| Jeremy Harris * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 24 | - |
| Davonta Jordan * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Ikenna Smart * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Nick Perkins | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 27 | - |
| Jayvon Graves | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Montell McRae | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - |
| J. Reese V | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Gabe Agorioge | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brock Bertram | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Colby Moultrie | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Dominic Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Mallers * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Sean Sellers * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Tayler Persons * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Francis Kiapway * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Trey Moses * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 21 | - |
| Tahjai Teague | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 18 | - |
| Jeremie Tyler | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Ishmael El-Amin | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Josh Thompson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter