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2017-11-19

Model Predictions

Model Ball State Cardinals Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 12.6% 87.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 31.4% 68.6% - โœ“
Margin 8.6% 91.4% +13.0 โœ“ (11.0 off)
Pythagorean 39.7% 60.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 6.8% 93.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 6.6% 93.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 24.9% 75.1% - โœ“

Actual: Oregon Ducks +24 (95-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ball State Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tayler Persons * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 5 14 16 -
Tahjai Teague * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 3 0 3 7 15 -
Francis Kiapway * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 6 -
Sean Sellers * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 6 8 -
Kyle Mallers * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 10 15 -
Jontrell Walker 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 3 0 1 6 9 -
Ishmael El-Amin 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 1 0 0 9 16 -
Zach Gunn 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 7 12 -
Trey Moses 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 6 9 -

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Pritchard * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 8 2 0 0 20 34 -
T. Brown Jr. * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 3 1 0 4 4 12 -
P. White * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 11 16 -
M. McIntosh * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 13 18 -
K. Smith * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 5 9 -
E. Brown 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 17 22 -
V. Bailey Jr. 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 2 1 16 23 -
K. Wooten 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 4 0 6 18 -
A. Kigab 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 2 2 3 5 -
M.J. Cage 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 3 -
E. Gross 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

* = starter