Model Predictions
| Model | Central Michigan Chippewas | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.8% | 61.2% | +1.7 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.3% | 61.7% | +2.6 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals +6 (82-76). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Central Michigan Chippewas
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Roundtree * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 25 | - |
| Luke Meyer * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 43 | - |
| David DiLeo * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Cecil Williams * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Josh Kozinski * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Kevin McKay | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Gavin Peppers | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Matt Beachler | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Matty Smith | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Corey Redman | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Innocent Nwoko | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayler Persons * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 25 | - |
| Sean Sellers * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Trey Moses * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 25 | - |
| Kyle Mallers * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Francis Kiapway * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Jeremie Tyler | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 27 | - |
| Tahjai Teague | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Ishmael El-Amin | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Zach Gunn | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
* = starter