Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 22.5% | 77.5% | +6.8 | ✗ (18.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets -12 (63-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Moses * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 32 | - |
| Tayler Persons * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 31 | - |
| Kyle Mallers * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 17 | - |
| Tahjai Teague * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 33 | - |
| Sean Sellers * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Ishmael El-Amin | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Zach Gunn | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Francis Kiapway | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| B. Huggins | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Navigato * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| J. Sanford * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 19 | - |
| M. Jackson * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| T. Adway * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| L. Knapke | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 19 | - |
| D. Alderson | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| J. Roberts | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter