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Ball State

Also known as: Ball State Cardinals, Ball State
Program History

2010 Team Stats (2 games)

43.5
PPG
64.0
Opp
-20.5
Margin
37.3%
FG%
20.0%
3P%
62.2%
FT%
29.5
RPG
7.5
APG
18.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
58.9
Adj PPG
62.6
Adj Opp PPG
#221
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2009-2010
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 872 (#236) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 970 (#198) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +96 elo More โ†’ 966 (#211) HCA +96 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ -3.8 (#219) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ -3.3 (#217) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.394 (#222) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -6.5 More โ†’ 0.321 (#226) AdjNet -6.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -6.6 More โ†’ 0.317 (#226) AdjNet -6.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 58.9 | AdjD 62.6 More โ†’ 0.417 (#221) AdjO 58.9 | AdjD 62.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 60.8 | AdjD 63.9 More โ†’ 0.431 (#232) AdjO 60.8 | AdjD 63.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.384 (#225) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.387 (#227) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 144 | GP 29 More โ†’ 935 (#215) RD 144 | GP 29

2010 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2009-11-13 vs Valparaiso Beacons W 88 - 78
2009-11-21 vs SIU Edwardsville Cougars W 57 - 47
2009-11-24 @ Temple Owls L 46 - 66
2009-11-28 vs UC Davis Aggies L 58 - 60
2009-12-02 vs Butler Bulldogs L 38 - 59
2009-12-09 @ Indiana State Sycamores W 68 - 63
2009-12-12 @ Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles L 81 - 86
2009-12-19 @ Purdue Boilermakers L 49 - 69
2009-12-21 vs North Carolina Central Eagles W 59 - 45
2009-12-28 vs Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks W 56 - 47
2009-12-31 vs Manchester Spartans W 69 - 55
2010-01-05 @ Dayton Flyers L 35 - 59
2010-01-09 vs Northern Illinois Huskies L 48 - 62
2010-01-13 @ Central Michigan Chippewas L 38 - 53
2010-01-17 vs Toledo Rockets W 71 - 43
2010-01-20 vs Western Michigan Broncos W 75 - 68
2010-01-23 @ Eastern Michigan Eagles L 53 - 57
2010-01-26 vs Miami (OH) Redhawks W 65 - 59
2010-01-28 @ Buffalo Bulls W 75 - 69
2010-01-31 @ Ohio Bobcats W 67 - 66
2010-02-04 vs Bowling Green Falcons W 64 - 59
2010-02-06 vs Akron Zips L 70 - 75
2010-02-10 @ Kent State Golden Flashes L 42 - 76
2010-02-13 @ Northern Illinois Huskies W 71 - 66
2010-02-17 vs Central Michigan Chippewas W 69 - 63
2010-02-20 vs UT Martin Skyhawks W 68 - 52
2010-02-24 vs Eastern Michigan Eagles L 67 - 72
2010-02-27 @ Toledo Rockets L 42 - 45
2010-03-04 @ Western Michigan Broncos L 52 - 67
2010-03-07 vs Ohio Bobcats L 77 - 85

2010 Roster

No roster data available for this season.