Ball State
2010 Team Stats (2 games)
43.5
PPG
64.0
Opp
-20.5
Margin
37.3%
FG%
20.0%
3P%
62.2%
FT%
29.5
RPG
7.5
APG
18.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
58.9
Adj PPG
62.6
Adj Opp PPG
#221
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2009-2010
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 872 (#236) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 970 (#198) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 966 (#211) | HCA +96 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -3.8 (#219) | HCA +3.1 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -3.3 (#217) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.394 (#222) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.321 (#226) | AdjNet -6.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.317 (#226) | AdjNet -6.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.417 (#221) | AdjO 58.9 | AdjD 62.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.431 (#232) | AdjO 60.8 | AdjD 63.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.384 (#225) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.387 (#227) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 935 (#215) | RD 144 | GP 29 |
2010 Schedule & Results
2010 Roster
No roster data available for this season.