Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Buffalo Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.8% | 81.2% | +9.1 | ✗ (15.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 21.8% | 78.2% | +7.0 | ✗ (13.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Buffalo Bulls -6 (69-75). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Sneed | 33 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Terrence Watson | 32 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Jarrod Jones | 31 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 5 | - |
| J. Scaife | 30 | 5-8 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Randy Davis | 27 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Myron Green Jr. | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Hubbard | 14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| B. Chisholm | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Z. Fields | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Buffalo Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Pierce | 36 | 5-18 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| C. Betts | 34 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| J. Boyer | 32 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| M. Boudreau | 27 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| S. Smiley | 22 | 5-18 | 3-13 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | - |
| Titus Robinson | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Alston | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| D. Barnett | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Mitchell Watt | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| A. Laleye | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter