Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Kent State Golden Flashes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.0% | 92.0% | +13.4 | ✓ (20.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.1% | 94.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kent State Golden Flashes +34 (76-42). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Davis | 31 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| J. Jones | 30 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Scaife | 29 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 3-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| T. Watson | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | - |
| B. Chisholm | 22 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| M. Perry | 19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| P. Sneed | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Hubbard | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Green Jr. | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Z. Fields | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
Kent State Golden Flashes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Holt | 27 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| J. Greene | 23 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| A. Simpson | 22 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| F. Henry-Ala | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| T. Evans | 21 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| R. Sherman | 20 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| C. Singletary | 19 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| M. McKee | 17 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| B. Parks | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| I. Pinckney | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| A. Grimsley | 6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter