Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.0% | 96.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.2% | 90.8% | +12.6 | ✓ (11.4 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +24 (59-35). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Jones | 31 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Scaife | 27 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| T. Watson | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| M. Perry | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | - |
| M. Green Jr. | 23 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| R. Davis | 23 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| B. Chisholm | 20 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| P. Sneed | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Hubbard | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Z. Fields | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Green | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Wright | 27 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| C. Johnson | 22 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| M. Johnson | 21 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| M. Perry | 19 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| K. Huelsman | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| L. Warren | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| R. Lowery | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| D. Searcy | 17 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| P. Williams | 16 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| J. Benson | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| D. Fox | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Kavanaugh | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| L. Hendrick | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| P. Zestermann | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter