Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.9% | 53.1% | +0.7 | ✓ (27.3 off) |
| Efficiency | 86.0% | 14.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals +28 (71-43). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Griffin | 36 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 2 | - |
| J. Barnett | 33 | 3-11 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | - |
| J. Dressler | 26 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Freelove | 22 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| J. Anyijong | 20 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| I. Salter | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| L. Bastfield | 19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| M. Lo | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Shunnar | 8 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| K. Rohner | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Rodriguez | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Watson | 27 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 20 | - |
| J. Scaife | 26 | 6-10 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 12 | - |
| J. Jones | 25 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| B. Chisholm | 23 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| M. Green Jr. | 23 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| R. Davis | 22 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| P. Sneed | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Hubbard | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| M. Perry | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| J. Green | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Z. Fields | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| W. Hauser | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter