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2010-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Ball State Cardinals Toledo Rockets Spread Result
Elo 66.4% 33.6% -5.6 โœ— (8.6 off)
Bradley-Terry 79.0% 21.0% - โœ—
Margin 74.2% 25.8% -5.8 โœ— (8.8 off)
Pythagorean 82.0% 18.0% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 86.5% 13.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 86.5% 13.5% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 62.7% 37.3% - โœ—

Actual: Toledo Rockets +3 (45-42). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.

Ball State Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Scaife 36 3-12 1-7 4-6 2 1 1 0 1 11 2 -
Randy Davis 36 3-10 0-2 8-10 8 2 0 0 3 14 11 -
Jarrod Jones 30 4-7 0-0 5-6 11 0 1 0 3 13 15 -
P. Sneed 26 0-6 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 2 0 -6 -
M. Hubbard 25 2-2 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 0 4 9 -
Terrence Watson 19 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 0 0 -
Myron Green Jr. 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 0 1 -
B. Chisholm 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Z. Fields 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

Toledo Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jake Barnett 36 2-8 2-5 0-1 3 2 1 0 6 6 -2 -
J. Anyijong 34 6-13 1-6 0-0 7 1 0 3 2 13 9 -
L. Bastfield 30 0-3 0-0 2-2 4 1 2 0 1 2 5 -
J. Dressler 30 2-2 0-0 2-2 2 3 0 0 1 6 8 -
J. Shunnar 29 2-6 2-5 2-2 5 0 1 0 1 8 7 -
Malcolm Griffin 25 4-10 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 8 1 -
I. Salter 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
J. Freelove 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Rohner 0 0-0 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter