Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.8% | 65.2% | +3.4 | ✗ (5.4 off) |
| Efficiency | 89.0% | 11.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals -2 (58-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Payne | 40 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| J. Harden | 36 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 7-11 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| R. Howley | 32 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| D. Calegari | 31 | 9-18 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 12 | - |
| A. Malik | 20 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Welch | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| J. Floyd | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Medlock | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| R. Sypkens | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Scaife | 34 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 7 | - |
| R. Davis | 32 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| M. Perry | 30 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| J. Jones | 28 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| T. Watson | 26 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 7-13 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 14 | - |
| B. Chisholm | 21 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| P. Sneed | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| M. Hubbard | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -5 | - |
* = starter