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Ball State

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Also known as: Ball State Cardinals, Ball State
Program History
Coach: Tim Buckley

2006 Team Stats (2 games)

67.0
PPG
76.0
Opp
-9.0
Margin
39.5%
FG%
24.1%
3P%
62.7%
FT%
34.0
RPG
9.5
APG
12.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
62.1
Adj PPG
64.6
Adj Opp PPG
#194
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2005-2006
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 882 (#241) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 874 (#260) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +97 elo More → 905 (#289) HCA +97 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.3 More → -2.4 (#192) HCA +3.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -4.3 (#231) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.372 (#226) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.7 More → 0.395 (#187) AdjNet -3.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -3.7 More → 0.395 (#187) AdjNet -3.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.1 | AdjD 64.6 More → 0.445 (#194) AdjO 62.1 | AdjD 64.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.3 | AdjD 66.9 More → 0.420 (#252) AdjO 63.3 | AdjD 66.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.369 (#231) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.365 (#239) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 141 | GP 26 More → 851 (#266) RD 141 | GP 26

2006 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2005-11-19 vs Oakland City Mighty Oaks W 78 - 72
2005-11-26 @ Wright State Raiders W 71 - 50
2005-12-03 vs Butler Bulldogs L 53 - 64
2005-12-07 @ IUPUI Jaguars W 53 - 50
2005-12-10 @ Indiana State Sycamores L 56 - 57
2005-12-17 vs Anderson (IN) Ravens W 75 - 47
2005-12-20 @ Drexel Dragons L 51 - 56
2005-12-31 vs Indiana Hoosiers L 56 - 80
2006-01-04 vs Akron Zips L 62 - 66
2006-01-08 @ Ohio Bobcats L 60 - 71
2006-01-11 @ Kent State Golden Flashes L 71 - 84
2006-01-14 vs Miami (OH) Redhawks L 55 - 59
2006-01-18 @ Buffalo Bulls L 64 - 75
2006-01-21 vs Bowling Green Falcons W 62 - 61
2006-01-24 vs Central Michigan Chippewas W 68 - 41
2006-01-26 @ Western Michigan Broncos L 59 - 68
2006-01-29 vs Toledo Rockets W 69 - 56
2006-02-01 @ Northern Illinois Huskies L 67 - 73
2006-02-04 vs Eastern Michigan Eagles L 43 - 56
2006-02-07 vs Buffalo Bulls W 67 - 60
2006-02-12 @ Miami (OH) Redhawks L 63 - 67
2006-02-15 @ Central Michigan Chippewas W 63 - 60
2006-02-18 vs Tennessee State Tigers L 69 - 70
2006-02-22 vs Western Michigan Broncos L 56 - 62
2006-02-26 @ Toledo Rockets L 54 - 81
2006-03-01 vs Northern Illinois Huskies L 73 - 78
2006-03-04 @ Eastern Michigan Eagles W 89 - 77
2006-03-06 @ Buffalo Bulls L 72 - 80

2006 Roster

No roster data available for this season.