Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.7% | 53.3% | +0.7 | ✓ (12.3 off) |
| Efficiency | 91.9% | 8.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals +13 (69-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Howell | 34 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| K. Payne | 33 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Ingram | 29 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| F. Valencia | 29 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Player #8271 | 22 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. Amos | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| S. Villegas | 16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| T. Kent | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Young | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| R. Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| H. Charalambous | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Acker | 35 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 7 | - |
| J. Perryman | 33 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Player #16074 | 32 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 6-9 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 12 | - |
| C. Ames | 27 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| P. Nelson | 24 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Peyton | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| T. Howland | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| B. Lampley | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Adler | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Bass | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter