Model Predictions
| Model | Akron Zips | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.2% | 25.8% | -10.8 | ✓ (6.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.3% | 20.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 71.0% | 29.0% | -4.9 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.4% | 15.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.4% | 15.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals -4 (62-66). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.
Akron Zips
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Romeo Travis | 33 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 8-14 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 22 | - |
| Player #15192 | 31 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| R. Preston | 27 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| N. Dials | 25 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| C. Middleton | 25 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Nate Linhart | 21 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| M. Futch | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| D. Peterson | 14 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Rybak | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Q. Milum | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #16074 | 38 | 8-16 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 13 | - |
| M. Acker | 34 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| D. Peyton | 26 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| C. Ames | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Howland | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| J. Perryman | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Bass | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| L. Adler | 13 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| B. Lampley | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| P. Nelson | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Kent | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter