Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Ohio Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.3% | 86.7% | +15.1 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.1% | 86.9% | +10.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ohio Bobcats +11 (71-60). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Mills | 39 | 10-16 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 13 | - |
| M. Acker | 32 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | - |
| D. Peyton | 31 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| C. Ames | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Perryman | 21 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -4 | - |
| C. Bass | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| P. Nelson | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| T. Howland | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| B. Lampley | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| L. Adler | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Kent | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Ohio Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mychal Green | 35 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 1 | - |
| J. Fears | 31 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| W. Davis | 29 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| S. Troutman | 27 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| J. Halbert | 24 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Leon Williams | 21 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| J. Jackson | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| J. Tillman | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| A. Chatman | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter