Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Eastern Michigan Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.1% | 52.9% | -0.4 | ✗ (11.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.8% | 43.2% | -1.5 | ✓ (10.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Eastern Michigan Eagles -12 (77-89). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Mills | 42 | 11-17 | 7-11 | 5-6 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 30 | - |
| J. Perryman | 37 | 6-12 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| M. Acker | 31 | 5-14 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| C. Ames | 27 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| P. Nelson | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| D. Peyton | 16 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| B. Lampley | 13 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| A. Newell | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Bass | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Kent | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| L. Adler | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Eastern Michigan Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Medlock | 40 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 9 | - |
| J. Bowler | 39 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 15-17 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 30 | - |
| N. Freer | 36 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| D. McElhinny | 33 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| J. Matthews | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| C. Cashen | 24 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| T. Lewis | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Z. Gay | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B.J. Ford | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Young | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter